UPDATE III: The most thorough critique I’ve read of Iqbal is Professor Burbank’s Senate testimony, available here (PDF). As an empirical matter, Iqbal has had a significant effect, particularly on constitutional rights plaintiffs:

The statistical analysis of 1,039 cases shows that 49% of 12(b)(6) motions were granted (with or without leave to amend) in the cases selected (from May 2005 to August 2009). Further, the rate of granting such motions increased from 46% of motions decided under Conley, to 48% of motions decided under Twombly, to 56% of motions decided under Iqbal. A multinomial logistic regression indicates that under Twombly/Iqbal, the odds of a 12(b)(6) motion being granted rather than denied are 1.5 times greater than under Conley, holding all other variables constant.

Moreover, the largest category of cases in which 12(b)(6) motions are filed was constitutional civil rights. Motions to dismiss in constitutional civil rights cases were granted at a higher rate (53%) than in cases overall (49%), and the rate of granting 12(b)(6) motions in constitutional civil rights cases increased in the cases selected from Conley (50%) to Twombly (55%) to Iqbal (60%).

Personally, I think the powers that be understated the degree to which cases were dismissed before, and now overstate the degree to which Iqbal will increase their likelihood of being dismissed. The odds are indeed worse now, but they’re still generally 50/50.

UPDATE IIJudge Posner weighs in, wondering if Twombly and Iqbal are limited to complex cases or those with other compelling interests, such as ensuring high-level officials are not distracted from their duties by suits of doubtful merit. I have a new post referencing Posner’s opinion and a separate opinion by Judge Easterbrook that throw cold water on those who believe Iqbal has doomed all but the sharpest of complaints.

UPDATE: The NYTimes has an article on the case as well, also believing it to be a death-knell for plaintiffs, noting that federal judges "have cited it more than 500 times in just the last two months." As I wrote below, citation is not the same thing as impact. The standard is not any different from what courts have been practically applying for years, except to add the word "plausible."

Indeed, you don’t have to go far to see the limits of Iqbal; just last month the District Court in Padilla v. Yoo, a similar suit against a high-ranking government official, denied defendants’ motion to dismiss, quoting Iqbal as follows:

“A claim has facial plausibility when the plaintiff pleads factual content that allows the court to draw the reasonable inference that the defendant is liable for the misconduct alleged.”Ashcroft v. Iqbal, 129 S. Ct. 1937, 1949 (2009) (citing Twombly, 550 U.S. at 556). “The plausibility standard is not akin to a ‘probability requirement,’ but it asks for more than a sheer possibility that a defendant has acted unlawfully.” Id. “Where a complaint pleads facts that are ‘merely consistent with’ a defendant’s liability, it ‘stops short of the line between possibility and plausibility of entitlement to relief.’” Id. (citing Twombly, 550 U.S. at 557 (brackets omitted))

To reiterate: the sky is not falling on plaintiffs. They need only plead "more than a sheer possibility that a defendant has acted unlawfully," something lawyers have been doing for centuries.]

Drug and Device Law points us to an article in Saturday’s Wall Street Journal:

Ashcroft v. Iqbal, released in May, will make it harder to bring a lawsuit without specific factual evidence, raising the threshold for moving a case into expensive litigation and possibly saving companies millions of dollars in legal fees. The case was overshadowed by other business rulings on consumer lawsuits, environmental and employment law and other matters in a term set to end Monday, but legal experts said it may be the most important.

"It’s the case that will be cited more than any other by a factor of 100," said Tom Goldstein, partner at Akin Gump Strauss Hauer & Feld LLP and founder of the Scotusblog Web site. He called the ruling "an unexpected gift for the business community."

In the case, a Pakistani named Javaid Iqbal sued government officials over his detainment after Sept. 11, 2001. The Supreme Court ruled that Mr. Iqbal didn’t have sufficient factual evidence to proceed with his discrimination claims.

"While legal conclusions can provide the framework of a complaint, they must be supported by factual allegations," Justice Anthony Kennedy wrote in the 5-4 opinion. He cited the 2007 decision in Bell Atlantic Corp. v. Twombly, an antitrust case that outlined what plaintiffs must assert to make it through initial court proceedings.

As a result of the Iqbal ruling, businesses may find it easier to fend off lawsuits by persuading courts to dismiss complaints early in litigation.

I disagree. Maybe a handful of cases at the fringes with no factual allegations will be dismissed (most of these cases were already dismissed even prior to Twombly), but that’s it. Iqbal‘s casual reference to pleading standards does not change the narrow focus of the actual opinion, which relates to the very specific issue of how "qualified immunity" applies to high-ranking officials in suits against the federal government for deprivations of constitutional rights.

Tom Goldstein is right that the Ashcroft v. Iqbal opinion will be cited all of the time by defendants’ motions to dismiss, and will be cited by court opinions evaluating motions to dismiss, but that doesn’t mean defendants will get much mileage out of it.

Rather than argue the details why, let me show you what will probably become my standard draft response to such motions:

Defendant’s heavy reliance on Iqbal is misplaced. Iqbal was a Bivens action brought by a Pakistani national who alleged ethnically and racially discriminatory treatment in the post-September 11, 2001, period by numerous federal officials while he was detained for charges of defrauding the United States with regard to identification documents, charges to which he plead guilty, prompting his deportation. Iqbal, 556 U.S. ___; Slip op. 1. There was no dispute that the facts alleged by Iqbal stated a Bivens claim against all individuals directly and indirectly involved in his treatment. Id.

The narrow question in Iqbal was whether Bivens liability — which indisputably does not extend to supervisors through respondeat superior (see Monell) — attached where the complaint alleged "a supervisor’s mere knowledge of his subordinate’s discriminatory purpose." Slip op., 13. The Supreme Court reiterated that Bivens creates a unique, disfavored and limited cause of action disconnected from normal tort doctrines and reaffirmed that, "[a]bsent vicarious liability, each Government official, his or her title notwithstanding, is only liable for his or her own misconduct." Id.

Such a Bivens-specific holding bears no relationship to the business lawsuit sub judice. Importantly, though, and contra defendant’s arguments, the Supreme Court reiterated in Iqbal that "a court must accept as true all of the allegations contained in a complaint" and that a plaintiff need only "state[] a plausible claim for relief [to] survive[] a motion to dismiss." Slip op. 14-15. Plaintiff has clearly done that here; defendants’ heavy reliance on an irrelevant Bivens opinion reveals the lack of any support in existing case law for their request to throw plaintiff out of court entirely. The Supreme Court has always instructed, and continues to instruct, District Courts to assume the facts in the complaint to be true, to make reasonable inferences on behalf of plaintiff’s allegations, and to deny dismissal where plaintiff has a "plausible" claim.

Finally, again contra defendants, Iqbal was specifically remanded to the Circuit Court to consider whether the plaintiff there should be permitted to amend his complaint to cure the deficiencies. Such is consistent with this Circuit’s precedent, in which leave to amend is to be freely granted prior to dismissal unless such amendment is clearly futile or inequitable.

So there you go. Iqbal soundly rejects Bivens liability for high-ranking government officials merely potentially aware of misdeeds much further down the chain of command (and it reiterates the appealability of an order on qualified immunity), but that’s it.

The sky has not fallen on business plaintiffs.